The 5-second method
Compare the price of the call with your chance to win. Price = call ÷ (pot + call). If a player bets 50 into 100, you call 50 to win 200 total: 50/200 = 25%. You need at least 25% equity.
Rule of 4 and 2
Multiply your outs by 4 on the flop (two cards to come) or by 2 on the turn. A flush draw has 9 outs: about 36% on the flop, 18% on the turn. The shortcut slightly overestimates with many outs.
| Draw | Outs | Flop→River | Turn→River |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flush draw | 9 | ~35% | ~19.6% |
| Open-ended straight | 8 | ~31.5% | ~17.4% |
| Gutshot | 4 | ~16.5% | ~8.7% |
| Two overcards | 6 | ~24% | ~13% |
Clean vs dirty outs and implied odds
An out is "dirty" if it also improves your opponent. Discount those. Implied odds add the chips you expect to win later — they justify some calls, but only against opponents who pay off.
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